There is a large 134% gap between East leaders. The Tampa Bay Lightning lead with a 46.4 percent chance of winning the East and the Pittsburgh Penguins are at 19.8%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Penguins chances are down from 23.3 percent. As far as teams fighting for the final playoff spots go, there is a very small difference in projected points between the teams with the #8 best record and the team with the #9 best record. This is a very top heavy conference with just 4 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.
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The percentage difference at the top of the West is large at 60%. The Winnipeg Jets lead with a 32.5 percent chance of winning the West and the Calgary Flames are at 20.3%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Flames chances are down from 21.9 percent. Expect the playoff race to be tight. In simulations, the Wild average the #7 most wins and the Stars average the #9 most so the difference (3.45 points) between making and missing the playoffs is expected to be small. This is a top heavy conference with just 5 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning it.
Below are the latest NHL Futures for winning the Stanley Cup. At #2, the Jets have a 14 percent chance of winning the Stanley Cup, which is 20 percentage points behind the Lightning. The separation between the team with the #7 highest chances vs the #9 highest is 2.9 percentage points.
|Tampa Bay Lightning||9/2||18.2%||34.1%||—|
|San Jose Sharks||12/1||7.7%||7.8%||DOWN|
|Toronto Maple Leafs||10/1||9.1%||6.0%||DOWN|
|Las Vegas Golden Knights||8/1||11.1%||3.0%||DOWN|
|Columbus Blue Jackets||16/1||5.9%||1.3%||DOWN|